Easy win for Mucho Macho Man in return

Horseracing Betting Lines

11/09/2011 - Ozone Park, NY (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Former Triple Crown contender Mucho Macho Man made a successful return to the races Wednesday at Aqueduct. The three- year-old was making his first start since the Belmont Stakes.

Starting in an optional/allowance race for trainer Kathy Ritvo, the colt quickly took the lead out of the gate and set the pace the entire way in the mile event. Ridden by Ramon Dominguez, Mucho Macho Man covered the distance in 1:34.72 on a fast track after getting very little pressure.

Mucho Macho Man finished 5 3/4-lengths to the good over Gallant Fields followed by Praetereo, Southern Ride, More Than a Reason and an eased Silent Money.

Mucho Macho Man returned $4.90, $3.10 and $2.60. Gallant Fields paid $4.90 and $3.50, Praetereo paid $3.50 to show.

"After the Belmont, we wanted to give him time off," said Dean Reeves, whose Reeves Thoroughbred Partnership owns the colt with Dream Team One Racing Stable. "The Triple Crown was a tough campaign and we knew we wanted to give him two-three months off.

"Most trainers told me if you take two months off it takes two months to get back, so about in mid-August he started back training (in Saratoga) with jogs, gallops up to his breezes. He developed a little soreness so we backed off, then brought him to Belmont. Then he started breezing and we began to dial in on a race; he went a strong five-furlongs and began building a foundation, and then six- and seven-furlong works."

The win in the $55,000 race was worth $33,000 to bring Mucho Macho Man's career bankroll to $643,643. As a two-year-old he was second in both the Nashua and Remsen Stakes to put him in the 2011 Kentucky Derby discussion.

This year the colt began with a fourth in the Holy Bull Stakes as the 2-1 favorite. He followed by winning the Risen Star and finished a close third as the 3-2 favorite in the Louisiana Derby.

Mucho Macho Man was 9-1 in the Run for the Roses where he finished third followed by a sixth in the Preakness and a well beaten seventh in the Belmont Stakes.

Wwjuno Horseracing Betting News

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Betting the NFL preseason

Rule No. 1 in the gamblers' handbook states, "Avoid sports betting on meaningless games."

When you're drowning in a sea of baseball monotony, however, things change. Even a hint of pro football betting can persuade the most disciplined bettor to break a few rules. 

The NFL preseason is around the corner, with a tempting Hall of Fame match kicking off on Sunday. But bettors must stay vigilant. Wagering on NFL exhibition games is an entirely different beast than the regular season. Most fans don't recognize the players on the field because starters get as much action in August as Warcraft fans get on Prom night.

The only certainty about the NFL this time of year is uncertainty – and yet there are some who say betting in August can be a gold mine.

“I actually feel the NFL preseason presents solid profit opportunities for sharp bettors and handicappers,” Sports Expert Steve Merril explains. “My experience has been that the sportsbooks fear the preseason, which is evident by lower limits and massive moves.”

The line moves are attributed to the limited knowledge available regarding playing-time distribution. One team’s top unit out on the field for one more series has an impact on the pointspread. Setting lines in the preseason often is a shot in the dark.

“We base the betting lines mostly on public perception,” Pete Korner, founder of the Sports Club in Las Vegas, says. “It’s very tough to predict, almost a guessing game.”

The preseason is all about figuring out who’s in and for how long.

“It becomes a race between bettors and oddsmakers to find out how long the quarterbacks are going to stay in,” Korner admits. “If a sharp gets the information first, he could exploit an early line. I’m a full believer in moving the line in the preseason if the books find out something late in the week.”

Determining what each team’s motive is can help bettors handicap. To do this you must pay close attention to the philosophies head coaches employ in exhibition play.

“You need to know what a coach is trying to accomplish,” says Covers Expert Bryan Leonard. “Sometimes a new coach will want to instill a winning attitude. Others just want to make sure their starters don’t get hurt."

So how do you distinguish who’s playing scared and who’s playing for keeps?

“Head coaches on the hot seat or new coaches trying to implement a winning attitude usually try harder to win in the preseason,” Merril says.

Cleveland Browns head coach Romeo Crennel fits this criteria. He’s entering his third season as the sideline boss and has yet to lead the Browns to more than six wins.

Cleveland is an enticing bet as well because of the unresolved quarterback situation. General manager Phil Savage sacrificed the Browns’ first-round pick in next year’s draft for Brady Quinn, but the former Notre Dame quarterback hasn’t signed or reported to training camp yet.

Charlie Frye and Derek Anderson split time at QB last season and it looks like either player (or even Quinn) could be the opening-day starter.

“If a team has quarterback depth and the pecking order hasn’t been decided, it’s a big advantage,” Leonard says.

Even in the third week of the preseason when starters generally play the most, the final outcome of the game is in the hands of fringe players. A team's talent, all the way down to the last man on the roster, is something to consider.

The New England Patriots have long been considered one of the deeper teams in the NFL and coach Bill Belichick has said in the past he’s unafraid of stars getting hurt in games with nothing on the line. He shocked his colleagues in 2003 by playing some of his starters on special teams in the preseason.

“We want to have the team ready to play a tough, physical game and preparation has to go into that and I imagine a certain amount of injuries go with it,” Belichick told the Providence Journal in August 2003.

Bettors can only hope to find more teams that share the Pats' business-like approach to the preseason (New England is 17-9-3 against the spread since 2000) and take advantage of teams who detest the exhibition schedule.

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